Spatial clustering and transmission networks of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in Rwanda: a national retrospective genomic and spatial epidemiological study.

Spatial clustering and transmission networks of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in Rwanda: a national retrospective genomic and spatial epidemiological study.

Publication date: Aug 26, 2026

Approximately 96% of rifampicin resistance/multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (RR/MDR-TB) cases in Rwanda result from direct transmission rather than acquired resistance. However, the nationwide spatial distribution and transmission dynamics of RR/MDR-TB remain poorly characterised. This study aims to analyse spatial patterns of RR/MDR-TB in Rwanda and explore relationships between spatial proximity and RR/MDR-TB strains’ genetic relatedness. We conducted a retrospective analysis of 249 confirmed RR-TB cases across Rwanda from 2017 to 2024, using the known geolocations of patients’ residences. Spatial and space-time clustering was assessed using Kulldorff’s scan statistics. Demographic and socioeconomic determinants were evaluated using multivariable regression. For 201 cases with whole-genome sequencing data, we performed transmission analysis using a 5-SNP threshold to define recent transmission clusters and investigated spatial relationships within genetically related strains. Significant spatial clustering of RR/MDR-TB was identified in 21 sectors, mainly in Nyarugenge, southern Gasabo and western Kicukiro (relative risk: 10. 06; p

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Concepts Keywords
Adult
Cluster Analysis
Epidemiology
Female
Humans
Male
Mycobacterium tuberculosis
Public health
Retrospective Studies
Rwanda
Tuberculosis
Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant
Whole Genome Sequencing

Semantics

Type Source Name
disease MESH multidrug-resistant tuberculosis
drug DRUGBANK Rifampicin
disease MESH strains
disease MESH tuberculosis
pathway KEGG Tuberculosis

Original Article

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